Maharashtra Politics: महाराष्ट्राच्या राजकारणात एक नवा वळण घेत असताना उद्धव ठाकरे आणि राज ठाकरे (Uddhav-Raj) यांच्या एकत्र येण्याची चर्चा पुन्हा एकदा रंगू लागली आहे. शिवसेनेचे बाळासाहेब ठाकरे यांचं राजकारण आणि त्यांच्या दोन्ही वारसदारांनी घेतलेल्या वेगवेगळ्या वाटा… या पार्श्वभूमीवर जर हे दोन ठाकरे पुन्हा एकत्र आले, तर महायुतीचं गणित पूर्णपणे ढासळण्याची चिन्हं आहेत.
राजकारणात ‘कधी कोण मित्र होईल आणि शत्रू होईल’ हे सांगता येत नाही, हे पुन्हा सिद्ध होताना दिसत आहे. उद्धव ठाकरे यांच्या नेतृत्वाखालील शिवसेना (उद्धव बाळासाहेब ठाकरे) आणि राज ठाकरे यांच्या मनसेची (Uddhav-Raj) युती झाली, तर ठाणे, मुंबई, नाशिकसारख्या शहरांमध्ये भाजप-शिंदे गटाला जबर झटका बसू शकतो. कारण या भागांमध्ये दोन्ही पक्षांचे मिळून एक भक्कम मराठी मतदार संघ आहे.
शिंदे गटाची अडचण वाढणार?
एकनाथ शिंदे यांची शिवसेना मराठी मतांच्या जोरावरच उभी आहे. मात्र, हे मतबळ मूळ शिवसेनेचे आहे, हे नाकारता येणार नाही. राज आणि उद्धव जर एकत्र आले, तर शिंदे गटाकडे उरलेली मराठी ओळख धूसर होण्याची शक्यता आहे. परिणामी, त्यांचे स्वतंत्र अस्तित्व टिकवणे कठीण होऊ शकते.
भाजपचं गणित कोलमडेल का?
भाजपने गेल्या काही वर्षांत महाराष्ट्रात एक मजबूत युती उभी केली होती — शिंदे ( SHIANDE) गट, अजित पवारांची राष्ट्रवादी, आणि स्वतःचा मजबूत संघटनात्मक पाया. मात्र, राज आणि उद्धव एकत्र आल्यास, भाजपच्या मतांच्या वाटणीत मोठा फेरफार होऊ शकतो. विशेषतः शहरी आणि उपनगरी भागांतील मराठी मतदार भाजपपासून दूर जाऊ शकतात. शिवाय, विरोधकांकडून ‘मराठी अस्मिता’चा नवा नारा भाजपला अडचणीत आणू शकतो.
अजित पवार यांना झटका?
अजित पवार यांच्या राष्ट्रवादीचे परंपरागत मतदार हे ग्रामीण भागात अधिक आहेत, परंतु काही ठिकाणी मुस्लिम आणि आघाडी समर्थक वर्गाचे मत मिळवण्यासाठी अजितदादांना जोर द्यावा लागतो. ठाकरे-राज एकत्र आले, तर विरोधकांची एकत्रित ताकद अजित पवार यांच्यासाठी देखील आव्हान उभी करू शकते.
राजकारणात काहीही होऊ शकतं
सध्याच्या घडामोडी पाहता, 2028 च्या निवडणुकांपूर्वी राज्यात अनेक समीकरणं बदलू शकतात. उद्धव आणि राज ठाकरे यांची भेट, चर्चा, आणि त्यातून उद्भवणाऱ्या शक्यता – या सगळ्यांकडे राज्यातील राजकीय वर्तुळ लक्ष ठेवून आहे.
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